Premier League odds, picks and best bet

Sunday’s match between Arsenal and Chelsea will be one of the most important pivotal points in the match Premier League season.

Arsenal entered Matchday 28 five points ahead of Manchester City in the standings, but it is the Citizens who control their own destiny with a game in hand and a tilt with the Gunners yet to come.

Anything less than a win over Chelsea on Sunday would put Arsenal’s title hopes in serious jeopardy.

Oddsmakers have installed Arsenal as -175 favorites for Sunday’s London derby at the Emirates Stadium.

Chelsea vs Arsenal odds, prediction

Arsenal’s season took a difficult turn with a draw against bottom-placed Wolves on February 18, but the Gunners responded with an impressive performance against arch rivals Tottenham Hotspur last Sunday.

A win over Tottenham on any day is a big deal for Arsenal, but this win was as important as any for Mikel Arteta’s side all season.

That has quieted the hype around the club, which is looking to avoid finishing second for a fourth successive season.

But just because Arsenal are embarrassing their neighbors at home means they can breathe easy. Tottenham have performed poorly in the league this season, and the Gunners are in for a tougher test on Sunday.

As always, it has been an adventurous season for Chelsea.

The Blues have, at times, looked like world-class sides, but they have also endured their fair share of decline, including draws against Leeds and Burnley in their last outings.

However, these results come on the heels of four straight wins, so the Blues do not appear to enter this match in dire straits.

It is also worth noting that Chelsea have been able to face the best players in the Premier League this season. They drew with Arsenal, 1-1, in their first meeting, and are only a few weeks away from a draw with Manchester City. The Blues also defeated Liverpool earlier in the season.

Chelsea’s stylistic approach could also cause Arsenal a lot of problems.

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While Mikel Arteta wants the Gunners to play a calm, realistic style of football, the Blues appear to be okay with throwing caution to the wind and getting involved in high-profile matches.

No team in the Premier League has created more expected goals than the Blues, who also lead the league in total expected goals (for+against) this season.

Given the price, the pressure on Arsenal, and the stylistic matchup, I like the value Chelsea will get for a big win in north London on Sunday.

Play: Chelsea +475 (Bet365 Sports Book)

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Michael LeBoeuf is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-time profitable sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help gamblers win pots, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.