Israel-Humas War The War is not the world freight does not return to the red sea

Marine experts and internal people in the shipping industry do not expect the sea carriers to return to the red sea soon, In spite of the Israeli-Humas war agreement??

“All of this is still very early days,” said Lan Lan Murphy, founder and CEO of Marine-Buddha. He said, “The Hothai in Yemen has proved the justification of international shipping attacks on the Israeli-Hamas war, but it is not guaranteed that the recent Israel-Hamas war will be permanent or that it will end the conflict in Gaza,” he added.

It has been 690 days Hawthis rebel They started their attacks on ships that navigated the red sea, and they did not agree to the ceasefire.

Vespuchi’s Lars Jensen of Maritime was mentioned in LinkedIn Post He “despite the warship between Israel and Hamas, Haothis will no longer start a ceasefire. “

Murphy said that Hauthis cannot see his demands as his demands are fulfilled, and he can say “a challenging proposal, a challenging proposal, a condition of stopping the demands of Palestine’s state.”

He said that there are many puzzle pieces before the world shipping line justifies the red sea to endanger and justify it.

“These are geographical -political puzzles pieces and thus beyond the control of the shipping line,” Murphy said. “These lines require a very strong commitment from the following attacks, as well as the increased security support from the Western troops, it is difficult to come back to Suz, and both of them are difficult to come,” he explained.

In addition, Murphy’s words are very complex and “heavy animals” Ocean Carrier Shipping Network.

For example, moving a weekly service back to the Suez Canal route includes 14 ships on a 98 -day round trip, 12 of which will return to 12 Suez, and the last two ships will be removed from the service, Murphy said. He said, “It takes several months to implement it and not a light decision, especially if the attacks return to the Red Sea, if there is a real risk of going on the opposite route and return to the round-Africa.”

Then once the ocean carriers decide to cross the Red Sea again, there is a possibility of crowds on the ports because the red sea and the Suez take less way will entered the ports of Europe and Asia at the same time traveling around Africa’s horn.

When the terms allow the Red Sea Transites to resume, he said that three major global freight liners (premiere alliances, Ocean alliances and Gemini) and the world’s largest ocean shipping company, MSC, could return to the Suez route in the independent phase. “Then, this may be probably managed, but seeing the high-play game of the prisoner’s downturn, we are all likely to see Suez returning to Suez at the same time,” Murphy said.

In the worst cases, the crowd can last for several months, and while the port of the port is increasing and everything is lingering, the ships trapped outside the port, the driving disruption and the empty (canceled) travel. “If we see a slight change in the three coalitions and MSCs, then we may see the crowds and interruptions for at least 2-3 months, but may be up to -6- Months for months,” Murphy estimated.

Lack of ports will create artificial shortages of ships as they are not available with extra items.

Murphy further said, “We are likely to see all the deep sea trade.

According to Murphy, this situation can also increase the rate of ocean freight, as they have done historically historically, the spot rate increases three to five times above the long -term average, according to Murphy.

Finally, Murphy said that additional ships added to the ship’s path to accommodate the long-transites around Africa should bring down the sea freight rate as there will be many ships available in comparison to demand.

Due to the excessive capacity of the ships, the freight rates can be reduced at the level of or lower at the level of 223, said Murphy and expected to look at the oversplay of the ship around 228 as soon as possible.

Until the initial return to the Red Sea, he thinks that a reasonable estimate will be compared to the Chinese New Year of the Golden week. But he continued, “I think it would be very optimistic to assume that all this Chinese New Year can work in time for 2026. Probably Golden Week in October 2026.”

Murphy said the first ocean carrier (or possibly MSC) to return to Suez Rooting will benefit a huge price compared to the Those Those Those, Possibly MSC (or possibly MSC).

He said, “The lines that are eager to return to Suez rooting are likely to be MSC, CMA CGM and Zim, because due to their strong markets in the East Mediterranean Marine Market, Suez Rooting has been destroyed,” he said.